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Before anyone comes in and overreacts about specific players, this is just a thread devoted to judging our teams potential for the upcoming split. Criticism is warranted as with any competitive fixture.
TOP: Fudge. As someone who came in and talked a lot, and I mean A LOT of smack. This was bound to backfire if he didn't 1v9 every game. Though his overall tournament performance was well below expectations. He still showed potential throughout some games including against Alphari in the last series. He is not the best top laner, he is not a top 3, top laner. But he hasn't been the worst IMO. If you dissect his performances, he was usually weakside and put in positions to be more utilitarian. When he was given the spotlight to succeed like in his Cam games vs TSM or game 4 vs TL he can really take over and show why he deserves a spot on C9. That said, it can backfire and in the case of game 5, did.
Further assessment: His hot/cold performances are no guarantee going into the regular season and he definitely needs to improve his early game laneing phase or else be put on tank duty. He is the youngest player in the LCS and has shown very good mechanical and late game team fighting ability and IMO has a lot of room, and time to grow. Don't write him off, the dude needs all the confidence he can get to fulfil his potential.
Jungle: Blaber is a maniac. IMO he put all doubters aside with deep champion pool and his superior routing ability against other top junglers like Santorin and Closer and was a big reason we stayed competitive in our losses. The man is coming into this season not just to play, but to win. I would not be surprised if he makes an MVP run this Spring.
Mid: Perkz. The man is joining C9 after playing bot for the greatest western team G2 for the last year and a half. To expect him to come straight in and dominate with only mere weeks worth of practice in a role that he hasn't played in nearly a year was hopeful at best. But throughout this tournament his worth was still felt even though he was taking a more supportive role. His mechanics IMO look better than any mid in the tournament and he definitely got more comfortable as the preseason went on. The man is on pace to put C9 on top when his full potential is realized.
Bot: Zven and Vulcan are amazing. Up to the finals they looked as though they where back in Spring of 2020. Zven IMO displayed himself as the best ADC while Vulcan is a razors edge close to CoreJJ for the top spot in the support position. This is definitely a major area of strength along with Jungle and should be are win conditions early on in the regular season.
The team as a whole: Optimistic. As odd as it may sound right now, if Fudge can iron out his early game detriments and continue his mid-late game abilities, he can easily become one of the best players on C9 considering he is only 18. Perkz IMO already sits at the best midlaner in NA with his performances against Jensen being far more impressive and 'felt' in the series. The man is at the top of the mountain, but baby he is only halfway there! Our Jungle and Bot positions are 1, 2 at worst and 1, 1 at best. 0 concerns.
Last words, it is fair to say C9 is the second best team right now coming out of the lock-in tournemnt with A LOT to work on. But the gap between us and TL was proven to be miniscule and feels a lot closer than what people are making it out to be.
Lets hold off on writing this team off from a preseason tournament. The competition in NA is at its greatest and we should be thankful to see it. Lets cheer on C9 in 2021 and give our boys the best chance at winning by supporting them as BEST WE CAN!
submitted by When the fixtures came out over the summer, we knew the final run-in (Pool, City, MU, Spurs, Chelsea) would be a brutal stretch. I wanted to take a closer look at that stretch of games now that we are past half the season being played. This isn’t earth-shattering news, but it also points out that the next 7 games are huge for the Villa.
Since there is still a bit of a discrepancy in games played when looking at the current table, I went with PointsPerGame to rerank the table. Also, this doesn’t include Villa’s (8th re-ranked) TBD’s with Spurs (9th) and Everton (4th) since we don’t know when those will be played yet.
Team | PPG | RANK | GD |
City | 2.27 | 1 | 29 |
MU | 1.96 | 2 | 19 |
Leicester | 1.87 | 3 | 14 |
Everton | 1.76 | 4 | 6 |
Liverpool | 1.74 | 5 | 15 |
Chelsea | 1.70 | 6 | 14 |
West Ham | 1.70 | 7 | 6 |
Aston Villa | 1.67 | 8 | 12 |
Spurs | 1.64 | 9 | 14 |
Leeds | 1.45 | 10 | -2 |
Arsenal | 1.35 | 11 | 4 |
Southampton | 1.32 | 12 | -8 |
Palace | 1.26 | 13 | -10 |
Wolves | 1.17 | 14 | -8 |
BHA | 1.09 | 15 | -5 |
Newcastle | 1.09 | 16 | -13 |
Burnley | 1.05 | 17 | -15 |
Fulham | 0.68 | 18 | -14 |
WBA | 0.52 | 19 | -36 |
Sheffield | 0.48 | 20 | -22 |
The average (by PPG) position of our next 7 opponents is 13.7. If you take out the Leicester game, the average position is 15.3.
The average (by PPG) position of our final 8 opponents is 7.3. If you take out the West Brom game, the average position is 5.6.
For a while it felt like we have dominated top-half table teams and unnecessarily struggled against bottom-half. We’ve really only defeated the 3rd and 5th team in the table. Those two beautiful wins against Arsenal feel great, but they are ranked 11th. [grin... of course they probably won't end the season in the bottom half, but wouldn't that be great] The rest of Villa’s wins are all bottom half. As for losses, we’ve lost to 1,2,7 (twice) as well as four teams below us. I didn’t really consider draws as we have two – against #6 and #17.
It feels like we can take our game to any team on any day - which we haven't had this feeling in over a decade, it's so refreshing. But we really need to take it out on our next 7 opponents to make this season something special. Not having a game every 3 days will probably help, of course.
Disclaimer: I’m not a statistician. I’m just in the world’s worst and longest Zoom meeting right now so why not look like I’m taking notes or something.
submitted by What’s up guys. After last week’s MINTY Free Hit Guide I’ll be going through my top double gameweek picks based on my recent studies of the underlying stats and the eye test. I ended up with 61 pts on my FH last week so hopefully I can help a few of you out again. Here goes…
BETWEEN THE STICKS:
Flappy-handski (5.1m)
The former Gunner looks to be ripe for points should he shrug off a thigh injury. His latest comments seem to suggest so but a rest isn’t out the question. BUR and WBA at the London Stadium looks fantastic. Personally, I’d stay safe with a WHU DEF instead.
Big Emiliano (5.1m)
With his price skyrocketing faster than bog roll during this season, it’s easy to see why. A game at the Ethihad looks good for saves galore followed up by the shambolic attack of NEW for the current top scoring keeper.
The Stone (4.5m)
A nice pick if you’re banking on saves and a miracle Big Sam revival; Sam “The Stone” Johnstone isn’t a bad one this week. Wolves, as stated last week, look awful going forward whilst he also plays a Hammers side who have sold their main striker and are considering playing the man mountain – Diop, at striker. Antonio should be fine and fit to spoil the day for The Stone however.
THE D:
Cancelo Culture (5.8m)
Coming off the back of more returns, CC looks a prime pick at the back for MCI. My only reservation would be potential rotation after Pep’s classic, ominously vague comments on the Portuguese international.
Johnny Stones (5.0m) & Ruben Loftus Dias (5.8m)
Should you not have CC, I think these two are safe as houses for starts and points this week. Two plum fixtures and Pep has shockingly told us real, actual team news in that Ake and Laporte are out.
Aaron “Babyface” Cresswell (5.4m)
It seems like just yesterday the former Ipswich Town man made his move to the Hammers, it’s actually been 7 years… I wouldn’t take him over Stones personally especially for the long haul but after the MCI assets he looks a fantastic pick up. Set pieces and playing at LB now instead of stifled at a LCB role.
Vlad (4.7m)
At the other side of the WHU DEF is Vlad Coufal. Some attacking threat, nailed on and with two plum games – he’s a quality budget pick. If you can’t stretch to him then take a look at forgotten man Craig Dawson (4.5m) who absolutely loves a set piece header.
Chillers (6.1m)
Costing a fortune but near the top of my picks is Ben Chilwell. If Lampard wants to remain in the hotseat at the Bridge, he will need results against Fulham and Leicester. Chilwell has the season pedigree to haul this week. A hold more than a buy.
Andrade Roberto (7.4m)
Heftily priced and facing one of the biggest games of the season against United in the double, Robbo still looks like a wise investment with a Chris Wood led Burnley following a likely cagey top of the table clash of the titans. A keep but not a buy. Look elsewhere for premium investment. River Trent (7.3m) slightly cheaper and on direct FKs for those with limited change in their pockets.
Shawshank Redemption (4.8m)
Mr Corners and fresh of the back of a 7 pointer last week, I’d be shocked to see OATW drop Shaw for Telles at the moment. Very nice fixtures going forward too. Fulham and Pool, not too bad.
Harry Maguire (5.4m) – Already memed too much to allow for a nickname.
A goal disallowed for putting his 6”5 frame on some poor lil’ fullback (rightly so to be fair) last week, he is the premium option at the back for United. On 5 yellows though and I’m sure he’d take one against Pool if it helped the chances of winning that game.
Middle of the park:
Kevin (11.8m)
Top of the xG charts over recent times, top of the xA charts over the season (shocking I know…) the dilemma should be more so will you captain him or not? Did look tired against BRI last week.
Mo (12.5m)
Statistically underwhelming and even getting outshone in some departments by Bobby F and Mane, Salah is still one of the best picks and captaincy picks this week. He will play both games, he will be on pens, he will get chances. The big question mark is the United game.
Mr Penalties Worldwide (11.4m)
One of our community members (Abol) managed to have the armband on the diminutive England winger this week as his penalty sailed in the dark skies of Manchester. Personally, this is the highest risk, highest reward pick to opt for this week. Only 8 minutes against Brighton and hungry to set things straight, he’s a very intriguing pick. Do you have the balls?
Bruno (11.3m)
Still looking like he’s just climbed Everest, Bruno keeps playing and remains in the picks. Not performing as well along side Pogz, we will see if Paul even starts this weekend as OATW may opt for a more defensively astute lineup without the World Cup Winner. This should benefit Bruno but expect managed minutes and Paul back for Fulham.
Marcus “The Saviour” Rashford (9.6m)
Unlike Bruno, Rashy’s stats with Pogz are much better. Not a bad shout for this week and arguably the best at his price point for the double.
Big Phil Fodes (6.2m)
At his price, if we knew he’d start even 4/5 fixtures with managed minutes he’d be template. Unfortunately there’s a man named Josep Guardiola Sala in the dugout so even a hat trick you’re not safe (see Mahrez). Risky, but arguably worth the risk at his price point given the upside and fixtures.
The Lad Himself (7.7m)
Have seen a lot of other FPL content producers and community members tip him as a bad pick this week. I disagree. If you have him, you’d be insane to sell. Some of the best underliers in the top leagues across Europe. Jackie Grealish with a double is absolutely a stick. I’d even consider brining him in given the fixtures and games in hand he has to play. Loves a juicy double.
Tomas VARcek (5.3m)
The big man from Czech will be licking his lips at his fixtures this week against side who are about as good at defending set pieces at Sebastian Giovinco. A Soucek shoe-in.
Anwar El Goalzi (5.8m)
Not a massive fan myself after watching him for a couple of seasons now. In a purple patch but there are better options at the Brummie club. Okay as filler, cheap option.
Barninho (6.8m)
Hitting a little bit of form and more importantly for Barnes owners and buyers; minutes, he is a shrewd pick up for the double. Strong for his price point.
Up Top:
Michail “Glass Hams” Antonio (6.2m)
A monster in front of goal but with the hamstrings of Mike Wazowski. Surely, surely he starts both. If WHU owners want to sell their only other striker whilst he’s not even fit yet, I’d be flabbergasted. Minutes managed yes but I’m sure Moyes doesn’t want Big Issa Diop starting up top. High risk, high reward.
Ollie Statkins (6.1m)
Not even a safer pick this week given the mystery that is Covid at Villa. Should he not be one of the ones affected, you can expect a crisp 90 mins x 2 from the former Championship man. Has the stats and Grealish given plates to haul. Strong pick despite what Watkins owners may tell you.
Jamie “Chithousery” Vardy (10.1m)
He needs no introduction. A premium forward and if you have the cash, a fine pick. My issues is there are better picks in MID for a similar price.
GENERAL TIPS AND CLOSING COMMENTS:
Should you bench boost?
Team dependent but probably not. Another dub GWK to come and to plan for. If you have a couple single GWKers with decent fixtures and the rest are dubs then go for it.
Should you TC?
Possibly. KDB and Salah are very decent TC options. Sterling if you’ve had a few and want a punt.
General transfer advice?
Hits for single to dub GWKers effectively only cost 2 pts. Not a bad week to restructure your team.
Come check me out on Twitch for my weekly pre deadline stream happening live right now (
https://www.twitch.tv/spearmintspaff ). I am on Twitter too (
https://twitter.com/SpearmintSpaff ). It's not your usual FPL content, occurring at a regular, later time than other content creators for folks in stranger time zones such as myself in Canada and you notorious dead zone nutcases.
Usual KO for our stream is:
9PM UK GMT / 2PM CAD MDT / 4PM USA EDT / 1 PM USA PST
Thanks guys and good luck.
Current rank: #222,037. All time: #18.
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